МОСКВА, 01 Июля 2020 г. Всероссийский центр изучения общественного мнения (ВЦИОМ) по заказу Экспертного института социальных исследований (ЭИСИ) провел экзитпол (опрос на выходе с избирательных участков) на голосовании по поправкам в Конституцию РФ.
Опрос проводился на 800 избирательных участках в 25 субъектах РФ. На выходе с избирательного участка интервьюеры ВЦИОМ предлагали пройти анонимный опрос. Задавался вопрос о том, как проголосовал респондент – «За» или «Против» поправок в Конституцию Российской Федерации.
По состоянию на 1 июля 2020 г. (на 20.00 по московскому времени), всего в опросе приняли участие 445.345 человек. Ответили на вопрос 69,9% респондентов, отказались от ответа – 30,1%.
Согласно результатам экзитпола ВЦИОМ, среди ответивших на вопросы интервьюеров, в поддержку поправок в основной закон страны высказались 71,2% россиян. Против поправок проголосовали, по данным экзитпола ВЦИОМ, 28,3% ответивших на вопрос россиян.
Наиболее высокая поддержка по поправкам к Конституции зафиксирована в Южном федеральном округе (75,6% - за поправки, против - 24%), в Сибирском федеральном округе это соотношение составляет 70,1:29,4, в Санкт-Петербурге – 69,6:30,1, в Северо-Западном федеральном округе – 69,3:30,3, в дальневосточном федеральном округе 67,5:31,3.
До начала голосования ВЦИОМ опубликовал прогноз, предполагавший, что от 67% до 71% участников голосования поддержат поправки. С учетом результатов опроса на выходе в 25 регионах РФ этот прогноз пересмотрен в сторону повышения: по новым расчетам проголосуют 74-75%, против 24-25%.
RUSSIAN CONSTITUTIONAL VOTE: VCIOM EXIT POLL RESULTS
Taking into account the results of the exit poll VCIOM has revised the projected outcomes upwards.
RUSSIAN CONSTITUTIONAL VOTE: VCIOM EXIT POLL RESULTS
Taking into account the results of the exit poll VCIOM has revised the projected outcomes upwards.
MOSCOW, JULY 01, 2020 Russian Public Opinion Research Center (VCIOM) has carried out a Russian constitutional vote exit poll (a survey among voters leaving the polling stations) at the request of the Expert Institute for Social Research.
The survey took place at 800 polling stations in 25 Russian regions. VCIOM interviewers invited the voters leaving the polling stations to take part in an anonymous survey. The voters were asked to indicate which way they voted - “for” or “against” the amendments to the Russian Constitution.
As of July 1st 2020 (8 p.m. Moscow Time), a total of 445,345 persons had taken part in the survey; 69.9% of respondents agreed to answer the question; 30.1% refused to answer.
The data of the exit poll suggest that 71.2% of those respondents who agreed to answer the question were in favor of the amendments; 28.3% were against.
The Southern Federal District shows higher levels of support for the proposed amendments (75.6% are “for”; 24% are “against”) (other ratios: 70.1:29.4 in the Siberian Federal District; 69.6:30.1 in St Petersburg; 69.3:30.3 in the North Western Federal District; 67.5:31.3 in the Far Eastern Federal District).
Prior to the nationwide vote VCIOM had had a forecast of 67% to 71% of Russians in favor of the amendments. With the exit polls data from 25 regions this projection has been revised upwards: 74% to 75% are likely to vote “for”, whereas 24% to 25% “against”.
Below are the results of seven-day exit polls conducted by VCIOM (June 25 - July 1).
Percentages of those who answered the question “Did you vote “FOR” or “AGAINST” the amendments to the Constitution?” and those who refused to answer the exit poll question |
| June 25 | June 26 | June 27 | June 28 | June 29 | June 30 | July 1 | Total June 25 – July 1 |
% of those who agreed to participate in the survey | 68.6 | 70.2 | 71.1 | 72.0 | 70.2 | 70.6 | 68.8 | 69.9 |
% of those who refused to answer | 31.4 | 29.8 | 28.9 | 28.0 | 29.8 | 29.4 | 31.2 | 30.1 |
Did you vote “FOR” or “AGAINST” the amendments to the Constitution? (of those who agreed to answer, %) |
| June 25 | June 26 | June 27 | June 28 | June 29 | June 30 | July 1 | Total June 25 – July 1 |
% of those who voted in favor of the amendments | 74.9 | 76.9 | 76.2 | 75.7 | 74.1 | 73.4 | 65.2 | 71.2 |
% of those who voted against the amendments | 24.6 | 22.5 | 23.6 | 23.8 | 25.4 | 26.5 | 34.7 | 28.3 |
% of those who say they spoilt the ballot | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
Results of exit polls in Russia’s regions July 01 Did you vote “FOR” or “AGAINST” the amendments to the Constitution? (of those who agreed to answer, %) |
| Regions of Southern Federal District | Regions of Siberian Federal District | St Petersburg | Regions of North Western Federal District | Regions of Far Eastern Federal District |
% of those who voted in favor of the amendments | 75.6 | 70.1 | 69.6 | 69.3 | 67.5 |
% of those who voted against the amendments | 24.0 | 29.4 | 30.1 | 30.3 | 31.3 |
% of those who say they spoilt the ballot | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.2 |
nonresponse rate | 27.3 | 32.2 | 32.0 | 30.4 | 29.7 |
Note: Using materials from the site www.wciom.ru or wciom.com, as well as distributed by VCIOM, the reference to the source (or hyperlink for the electronic media) is obligatory.
